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Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs 3DMAX (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group C

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs 3DMAX (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group C" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-3.5) vs Walczaki (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Walczaki (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) 100% Volume: $149K Liquidity: $482K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs 3DMAX (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-3.5) vs Walczaki (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Walczaki (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Match Winner41%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-6.5) vs Walczaki (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Walczaki (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Walczaki (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)10%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-3.5) vs Walczaki (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Walczaki (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5)0%

Market context

Walczaki arrived here after dropping into the elimination bracket, while 3DMAX came in as the clearer pre-match favourite and that remains reflected in both market and bookmaker pricing, which sits around the mid-1.5s for 3DMAX against roughly 2.5–2.6 for Walczaki.[2][5][7] The crowd has already priced the match as a near-certain 3DMAX outcome, but the live setup still matters because this is a best-of-three and underdog wins in qualifier BO3s typically come from map veto leverage rather than broad form alone.[2][6]

The main comparable frame is that Walczaki have already shown they can survive longer series pressure in this qualifier, but their path is now against a side with more experience against higher-tier European opponents.[2][4] In practical terms, the current 100% YES reading is less about confirmed result certainty than about the market’s expectation that a completed series will favour 3DMAX; any upset, walkover, cancellation, or delay beyond the settlement window would change how this resolves.[2][6]

The immediate catalysts are the match start, any official bracket or schedule changes, and whether the series is actually played to completion before the settlement deadline.[3][6] Public listings place the match on today’s schedule, and live match pages indicate it was set for 10:00 UTC, so the key near-term check is whether there is a genuine start and completed BO3 rather than a postponement, no-show, or technical stoppage that could push settlement to 50-50.[3][6]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs 3DMAX (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group C across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs 3DMAX (BO3) - StarLadder… on Prediction Today

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