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Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 85% Map 2 Winner 77% Map 1 Winner 72% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5) 57% Volume: $114K Liquidity: $238K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
85% 15% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
85% 15% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner85%
Map 2 Winner77%
Map 1 Winner72%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)57%
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)55%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)53%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.547%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.546%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.542%
O/U 2.5 Games37%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs FOKUS (+6.5)32%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier prediction market currently prices this outcome at 85% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 32 match between Aurora Gaming and FOKUS in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 23 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Au…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST… on Prediction Today

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