Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
32% | 68% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
32% | 68% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 32% Monte | 69% BetBoom Team |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 44% Over | 56% Under |
| Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) | 40% BetBoom Team | 61% Monte |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) | 48% BetBoom Team | 52% Monte |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 46% Over | 54% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) | 43% BetBoom Team | 57% Monte |
Market context
Monte and BetBoom Team face off in Round 4 of IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 on 8 June, with the 32% crowd probability favouring BetBoom. The match format is best-of-three, scheduled for 10:30 AM ET. Recent roster changes and form across both squads will determine whether the underdog Monte can capitalise on home-region advantage or whether BetBoom's consistency holds.
BetBoom has maintained steadier international results over the past six months compared to Monte's more volatile performances at tier-one events. When examining comparable Major stage matchups between established CIS-region teams and emerging European rosters, the favourites typically convert at roughly 65–70% rates, suggesting the current 68% implied probability for BetBoom aligns with historical precedent. Monte's 32% odds reflect genuine upset potential but require near-perfect execution across map selection and mid-round discipline.
Traders should monitor final roster confirmations through 7 June, as both teams have rotated players recently. Fixture delays beyond the scheduled window would trigger a 50-50 resolution, a material risk given venue logistics at Cologne. Pre-match analysis from HLTV and ESL's official broadcast will surface any last-minute stand-ins or technical issues. The settlement window closes at 20:30 UTC on 8 June, providing a nine-hour buffer after the scheduled start time for completion under standard conditions.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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