Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
5% | 95% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
5% | 95% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leo Team (-3.5) vs KOLESIE (+3.5) | 5% Leo Team | 95% KOLESIE |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 95% Over | 5% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KOLESIE (-12.5) vs Leo Team (+12.5) | 25% KOLESIE | 75% Leo Team |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KOLESIE (-3.5) vs Leo Team (+3.5) | 95% KOLESIE | 5% Leo Team |
| Map Handicap: Leo (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5) | 1% Leo Team | 99% KOLESIE |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leo Team (-6.5) vs KOLESIE (+6.5) | 10% Leo Team | 90% KOLESIE |
Market context
KOLESIE face Leo Team in a Counter-Strike best-of-three fixture within CCT Europe Series 4's group stage, scheduled for 10 June at 10:00 AM ET. The 5% implied probability for KOLESIE victory reflects significant underdog positioning, though the match remains three weeks away and subject to roster changes, scheduling shifts, or withdrawal announcements typical of regional European qualifiers at this tier.
Leo Team's recent form and established presence in CCT circuits have anchored market expectations heavily in their favour. Historical CCT Europe group-stage matchups between established sides and emerging rosters typically see the favoured team win 85–90% of encounters, particularly in opening rounds where preparation asymmetries are most pronounced. KOLESIE's low probability aligns with this baseline, though the actual competitive gap between these squads remains unverified in head-to-head play.
Traders should monitor CCT Europe's official fixture confirmations and any roster announcements from either organisation over the coming weeks. Postponements beyond the 7-day grace period would trigger a 50-50 resolution, a material tail risk given European qualifier scheduling volatility. Player availability, particularly any stand-in deployments or last-minute substitutions, could shift the underlying match dynamics substantially. The settlement window closes immediately after the scheduled start time, so confirmation of match completion or cancellation becomes critical by 20:15 UTC on 10 June.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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