Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Asuncion 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Juan Bautista Torres Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Asuncion 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Juan Bautista Torres | 100% Gonzalo Villanueva | 0% Juan Bautista Torres |
| Asuncion 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Juan Bautista Torres Set 2 Winner | 0% Villanueva | 100% Torres |
| Asuncion 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Juan Bautista Torres Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% Over 2.5 | 0% Under 2.5 |
| Asuncion 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Juan Bautista Torres Match O/U 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Asuncion 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Juan Bautista Torres Match O/U 22.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to asuncion 2: gonzalo villanueva vs juan bautista torres. This market refers to the tennis match between Gonzalo Villanueva and Juan Bautista Torres in the Asuncion 2, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gonzal…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Asuncion 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Juan Bautista Torres on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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