Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Felix Auger-Aliassime faces Marton Fucsovics in the opening round of the Libema Open in 's-Hertogenbosch, scheduled for 11 June 2026. The Canadian, ranked in the top 20, enters as the clear favourite against the Hungarian competitor. The 100% crowd probability reflects Auger-Aliassime's superior ranking and recent form on grass courts, where he has consistently performed well in the lead-up to Wimbledon.

Historically, grass-court tournaments at this stage of the season show predictable patterns: higher-ranked players advance at rates exceeding 85% when facing opponents outside the top 50. Fucsovics, a mid-ranking player with limited grass-court success, presents minimal disruption to baseline expectations. Auger-Aliassime's head-to-head record against similar-ranked opponents on this surface supports the implied probability, though the market's absolute certainty warrants scrutiny given that even favoured matches carry inherent volatility.

Traders should monitor injury reports through early June, particularly any updates on Auger-Aliassime's fitness given the compressed schedule leading into the grass-court swing. Weather conditions in the Netherlands—rain delays are common in June—could affect match timing but would not alter the settlement criteria unless play extends beyond seven days without completion. The settlement window closes 18 June, providing a five-day buffer beyond the scheduled date. Any late withdrawals or last-minute ranking shifts would emerge in the 48 hours before play.

Methodology

This page reviews Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.