LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Misa Esports face UCAM Esports Club in a League of Legends best-of-three match within EMEA Masters Group A, scheduled for 11 June at 16:00 BST. The 0% implied probability suggests either extreme confidence in one outcome or minimal trading activity on this particular fixture. EMEA Masters serves as a secondary competitive tier beneath the LEC, drawing rosters with mixed experience levels and inconsistent performance records across seasons.

Historical context for EMEA Masters matchups reveals that group-stage outcomes often hinge on roster stability and recent scrim results rather than published rankings alone. Teams rotating players mid-season or operating with substitute line-ups have shown marked performance variance. Neither Misa nor UCAM commands the institutional resources of LEC organisations, meaning coaching staff depth and analyst preparation can meaningfully shift series outcomes. Previous seasons saw lower-seeded EMEA Masters teams upset favourites when facing unfamiliar opposition or when meta shifts favoured their champion pools.

Traders should monitor team announcements through early June regarding roster changes, injury status, or coaching adjustments. Scrim leaks from community sources occasionally surface 48–72 hours before matches, though reliability varies. The settlement window closes at 21:00 BST on match day, allowing roughly five hours post-completion for resolution. Any schedule shift beyond 7 June triggers the 50-50 tie resolution clause, a material risk given occasional broadcast delays in regional competitions. Confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled typically arrives within 48 hours of the fixture date.

Methodology

We track LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.