Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5) | 0% Vivo Keyd Stars | 100% LOS |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 49% LOS | 51% Vivo Keyd Stars |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 49% LOS | 51% Vivo Keyd Stars |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% LOS | 100% Vivo Keyd Stars |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% LOS | 0% Vivo Keyd Stars |
| Match Winner | 0% LOS | 100% Vivo Keyd Stars |
Market context
LOS and Vivo Keyd Stars are set to face off in the Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 of the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs on 8 June at 3:15PM ET. The match determines progression in a regional qualifier feeding into the broader EWC tournament structure. The 0% implied probability suggests either technical issues with market setup or genuine uncertainty about match execution rather than a settled expectation of either team's performance.
Historical context from South American League of Legends competition shows that upper bracket semifinals typically feature the region's strongest rosters, with match outcomes often reflecting recent domestic league standings and playoff momentum. Vivo Keyd Stars has maintained competitive standing in Brazilian regional play, whilst LOS represents the broader LATAM competitive pool. Upsets in this stage occur but remain uncommon when teams have qualified through standard bracket progression.
Traders should monitor official EWC and regional league communications for any schedule changes, roster confirmations, or technical delays. The settlement window closes 7 June at 01:15 UTC, creating a narrow window for resolution if the match experiences postponement. Confirmation of match start time and venue stability typically arrives 24–48 hours before scheduled play. Any announcement regarding player availability, technical infrastructure issues, or bracket restructuring would materially shift assessment of completion risk.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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