Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
1% | 99% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
1% | 99% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Game Handicap: PNG (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5) | 1% paiN Gaming | 99% LOS |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% LOS | 0% paiN Gaming |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% LOS | 0% paiN Gaming |
| Match Winner | 100% LOS | 0% paiN Gaming |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) | 100% LOS | 0% paiN Gaming |
Market context
LOS face paiN Gaming in a lower bracket quarterfinal of the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs, with the match scheduled for 10 June at 22:15 UTC. The 1% implied probability reflects paiN Gaming's substantial advantage in this matchup, positioning them as clear favourites to advance. This is a single-elimination format where the loser exits the tournament entirely, raising the stakes considerably for both organisations.
paiN Gaming have established themselves as one of South America's more consistent League of Legends competitors over recent seasons, regularly competing in regional finals and maintaining stronger roster continuity than many regional counterparts. LOS, by contrast, operate from a considerably weaker competitive standing within the LATAM ecosystem. Historical lower bracket matchups between teams of significantly disparate strength typically see the favoured side convert their advantage at rates exceeding 95%, particularly when the gap in regional ranking is this pronounced. The 1% probability assigned to LOS reflects this structural disadvantage rather than any recent upset trend in the region.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions in the 48 hours preceding the match, as both teams occasionally field different line-ups for qualifier events. Schedule adherence has been generally reliable for EWC-affiliated tournaments, though technical delays remain possible. The settlement window extends to 11 June at 03:15 UTC, providing a seven-day buffer for completion. Any match cancellation or postponement beyond that deadline would trigger a 50-50 resolution.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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