Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 3? | 100% Team Heretics Academy | 0% Eintracht Spandau |
| First Blood in Game 4? | 100% Team Heretics Academy | 0% Eintracht Spandau |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% Team Heretics Academy | 100% Eintracht Spandau |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% Team Heretics Academy | 100% Eintracht Spandau |
| Game 3 Winner | 100% Team Heretics Academy | 0% Eintracht Spandau |
| Game 4 Winner | 100% Team Heretics Academy | 0% Eintracht Spandau |
Market context
Team Heretics Academy face Eintracht Spandau in the EMEA Masters Playoffs quarterfinal on 13 June, with the match scheduled for 11:00 AM ET. The 100% implied probability reflects Heretics Academy's standing as the stronger roster in regional competition, though this pricing leaves no room for upsets, scheduling disruptions, or technical failures that could trigger the 50-50 resolution clause.
Historical precedent suggests EMEA Masters quarterfinals rarely produce major surprises when seeding differentials are pronounced. Heretics Academy, as the academy arm of a LEC organisation, typically fields players with higher competitive experience than mid-tier German regional opponents. However, best-of-five formats introduce variance; Spandau could steal maps through preparation or meta-read advantages, even if Heretics ultimately advance. The 7-day delay clause in the resolution terms matters here—any postponement beyond 20 June without completion triggers automatic 50-50 settlement, creating a secondary risk vector beyond match outcome.
Traders should monitor the official EMEA Masters schedule for any venue, broadcast, or player availability issues in the 48 hours before kickoff. Riot's regional operations have maintained reliable scheduling through 2025-26, but equipment failures or unexpected roster changes occasionally force rescheduling. The settlement window closes at 21:00 UTC on 13 June, giving roughly 10 hours post-match for official confirmation. Any announcement of format changes, substitutions, or technical delays should be tracked against the 7-day threshold to assess resolution risk.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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