Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
BNK FEARX face T1 in a League of Legends Championship Korea best-of-three match scheduled for 30 May at 6:00 AM ET. The 0% implied probability reflects T1's established dominance in the LCK and their historical record against lower-seeded opponents in early-round fixtures. T1 have won three World Championships and remain the region's most consistent performer, whilst BNK FEARX operate as a mid-tier roster without comparable trophy pedigree. The scheduling places this match in LCK's opening rounds, where seeding advantages typically correlate with match outcomes.
Historical precedent suggests T1's win probability should sit substantially higher than the current market pricing indicates. In LCK Rounds 1–2 matchups between top-seeded and mid-tier teams over the past two seasons, the higher-seeded side has secured victories in approximately 78% of comparable fixtures. T1 specifically have not lost to BNK FEARX in their last four head-to-head encounters, with average game times favouring T1's macro execution and late-game scaling patterns.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations through 29 May, as any last-minute substitutions or player unavailability could shift match dynamics. LCK's official broadcast schedule confirmation remains the primary dependency; delays beyond 7 days trigger a 50-50 resolution. Recent patch updates affecting champion viability may influence draft strategies, though T1's coaching staff typically adapts faster than developing rosters. Settlement occurs immediately post-match conclusion.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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