Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
The LCK Challengers League match between DN SOOPers Challengers and Nongshim Esports Academy is scheduled for 26 May at 6:00 AM ET, with settlement closing the same day at 4:00 PM ET. This best-of-three fixture represents early-stage competition within South Korea's secondary League of Legends circuit, where academy teams and challenger squads compete for ranking points and promotional opportunities. The current 100% implied probability suggests market participants view the match as certain to proceed and conclude with a decisive winner.
The LCK Challengers League operates on a structured calendar with minimal historical cancellations or delays beyond the seven-day threshold that would trigger alternative settlement. Academy teams typically maintain consistent rosters and training schedules, reducing fixture volatility compared to international tournaments. Nongshim Esports Academy, affiliated with the LCK's Nongshim RedForce organisation, generally fields competitive lineups with development prospects, whilst DN SOOPers Challengers competes as an independent challenger squad. Both organisations have demonstrated reliability in honouring scheduled fixtures throughout the 2025-2026 season.
Traders should monitor the official LCK Challengers League schedule for any last-minute roster changes, technical issues, or health-related absences that could theoretically affect match integrity, though such occurrences remain uncommon at this competitive level. The tight settlement window—closing only ten hours after the scheduled start time—leaves minimal buffer for extended delays. Confirmation of match start time and venue status typically arrives within 24 hours of fixture commencement through the LCK's official channels.
Methodology
We track LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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