Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A

Platform comparison

Market context

Yellow Submarine and Execration are scheduled to meet in Group A of the Games of the Future in a best-of-three, with listings placing the series at 05:00 UTC and multiple pre-match pages showing it as an upcoming fixture. The market’s 100% yes pricing is therefore being read against a live competitive schedule rather than an abstract headline, and the main near-term issue is whether the series actually stays on the board and starts on time.[1][14][18]

The closest comparable frame is recent market and fixture data from the same event, which shows Group A matches running in sequence and similar Dota listings being updated as start times approach. A bookmaker preview on the same pairing had Yellow Submarine narrowly favoured at 1.7 versus 2.05 for Execration, while a prediction market snapshot also sat near a coin-flip, suggesting that a clean sweep is not being assumed by external pricing despite the crowd pushing to a full yes.[13][17]

For traders, the catalysts are simple: official lobby start, any schedule slippage from the tournament operator, and whether the best-of-three is completed within the settlement window. Because the market resolves to 50-50 if the match is cancelled, not played, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner, any late change to the published start time matters more than team form; the most relevant live signal is whether the fixture remains listed as upcoming or flips to live/finished status on scoreboards and tournament calendars.[1][11][16]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.