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LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 75% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 72% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 71% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 68% Volume: $123K Liquidity: $385K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon75%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?72%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?71%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon68%
Match Winner64%
Game 1 Winner61%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?60%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?60%
Game 2 Winner57%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)39%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor30%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Gen.G (+1.5)18%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor16%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors13%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors12%

Market context

The LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group prediction market currently prices this outcome at 75% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between Gen.G and T1 in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for July 31 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win the match ag…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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