Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Ends in Daytime | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
GLYPH and Team Spirit are set to clash in a best-of-one group stage match at the BLAST Slam on 27 May at 05:10 UTC. The current 50-50 split reflects genuine uncertainty around two teams with divergent recent trajectories. Team Spirit, the reigning International champions, have faced inconsistency in 2024 regional play, whilst GLYPH—a CIS-region squad—have shown competitive mettle in their domestic circuit but lack the sustained international exposure of their opponent.
Historical precedent suggests that single-elimination matches between established tier-one teams and rising regional challengers tend to favour experience and preparation depth. Team Spirit's familiarity with BLAST's format and their track record in high-stakes group stages provide structural advantages, yet GLYPH's lack of pressure from previous tournament expectations can create tactical flexibility. The 50-50 pricing reflects that neither team enters as a clear favourite based on recent form alone.
Traders should monitor team roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions before the settlement window closes. BLAST's scheduling occasionally shifts matches within a 24-hour window, and internet connectivity issues affecting CIS-region teams have historically caused delays. Announcements from either organisation regarding player availability or technical concerns would materially shift the probability. Additionally, watch for any pre-match commentary from coaching staff regarding draft strategy—Team Spirit's recent meta adaptations versus GLYPH's comfort picks could signal preparation confidence levels that aren't yet priced in.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Grou… on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Prediction Today →