Dota 2: GLYPH vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

GLYPH and PARIVISION are scheduled to face off in a best-of-one Dota 2 match within the BLAST Slam Group Stage on 28 May at 04:00 ET. The 100% implied probability reflects near-certainty that the match will occur as scheduled, with settlement contingent on a decisive result being determined by the 14:00 UTC deadline. No recent fixture cancellations or roster disruptions have emerged in the past 48 hours affecting either team's participation.

The BLAST Slam format typically maintains strict scheduling adherence, with group-stage matches rarely postponed beyond the seven-day buffer built into this market's resolution criteria. Historical precedent across BLAST tournaments shows that administrative delays or technical issues rarely extend beyond 24 hours, and forfeiture scenarios remain uncommon at this tier of competition. The 50-50 tie resolution clause is largely theoretical, as Dota 2 matches do not conclude in draws under standard ruleset conditions.

Traders should monitor official BLAST communications and team social channels through 27 May for any roster announcements, visa complications, or technical venue issues that could trigger postponement. The early morning ET start time (04:00) carries minimal scheduling risk compared to evening slots, as it aligns with standard European tournament windows. Confirmation of both teams' arrival and final check-ins typically occurs 12–24 hours before match time; absence of such confirmation would signal material delay risk.

Methodology

We track Dota 2: GLYPH vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.