Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 1% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Team Falcons face Aurora in a best-of-one Dota 2 match within the BLAST Slam Group Stage on 27 May at 07:30 ET. The fixture represents a single-elimination encounter where either team advances or is eliminated from the tournament structure. Current pricing reflects near-certainty in Team Falcons' favour, though the match remains unplayed and subject to standard competitive variables.
The 100% implied probability warrants scrutiny against historical precedent in Dota 2 group-stage matchups. Single-game eliminations carry inherent volatility; upsets occur at measurable frequency even when skill differentials appear pronounced. BLAST Slam tournaments have produced unexpected results in prior iterations, with lower-seeded or less-favoured teams capitalising on draft advantages or tactical preparation. The extreme confidence in this market suggests either substantial public information regarding team form, roster changes, or recent head-to-head results that favour Falcons decisively.
Traders should monitor official BLAST communications for any schedule amendments, player availability updates, or technical issues that might delay or reschedule the match beyond the 7-day window. Recent roster announcements or injury disclosures from either organisation could shift underlying match dynamics. The settlement window closes at 17:30 UTC on 27 May, allowing approximately 10 hours post-scheduled start time for match completion. Any forfeiture, disqualification, or cancellation without rescheduling within seven days triggers a 50-50 resolution, creating tail-risk exposure for positions built on current pricing.
Methodology
This page reviews Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Gr… on Prediction Today
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