Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Clutchain (-9.5) vs XI Esport (+9.5) | 0% Clutchain | 100% XI Esport |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Clutchain (-3.5) vs XI Esport (+3.5) | 100% Clutchain | 0% XI Esport |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Clutchain (-3.5) vs XI Esport (+3.5) | 50% Clutchain | 50% XI Esport |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Clutchain (-12.5) vs XI Esport (+12.5) | 0% Clutchain | 100% XI Esport |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% XI Esport | 100% Clutchain |
Market context
XI Esport face Clutchain in a lower bracket round 3 best-of-three on 8 June at 1:30PM ET in the ESEA Advanced Europe playoffs. The 0% probability assigned suggests either minimal trading activity or strong confidence in one outcome, though the settlement window closes at 23:30 UTC that same day, leaving a narrow window for match completion and resolution. ESEA Advanced represents the second tier of competitive Counter-Strike in Europe, where roster stability and recent form carry outsized weight given the smaller talent pool and tighter scheduling constraints compared to Pro League circuits.
Lower bracket elimination matches at this tier historically see completion rates above 95%, with cancellations typically driven by visa issues, equipment failure, or organisational collapse rather than scheduling conflicts. The 7-day delay clause in the resolution criteria is a standard safeguard; matches in ESEA Advanced rarely extend beyond their scheduled date without a determined winner, as teams face immediate relegation pressure and cannot afford extended postponements.
Traders should monitor ESEA's official match schedule and both organisations' social media for any last-minute roster changes or technical issues in the 48 hours prior. Recent lineup announcements or stand-in deployments can shift competitive balance significantly at this level. The settlement window's tight closure means any delay beyond a few hours on 8 June could trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, making fixture confirmation critical to pricing accuracy.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Clutchain (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Clutchain (BO3) - ESEA … on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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