Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Winner | 100% Team Nemesis | 0% Infinite |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% Team Nemesis | 0% Infinite |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Match Winner | 100% Team Nemesis | 0% Infinite |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5) | 100% Team Nemesis | 0% Infinite |
Market context
Team Nemesis face Infinite in a Counter-Strike best-of-three quarterfinal within the NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs, scheduled for 16 June at 1:00 PM ET. The match represents a standard elimination fixture in a regional tournament structure, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated. Current market pricing reflects near-certainty around match completion, though the settlement framework permits resolution to 50-50 if the fixture is cancelled outright, extends beyond seven days without a decisive result, or concludes in a tie.
The 100% probability reading warrants scrutiny against comparable esports tournament fixtures. NODWIN events have historically maintained reliable scheduling adherence, though Indian-based tournaments occasionally experience logistical delays that can stretch beyond initial windows. Quarterfinal matches in established series rarely cancel entirely; postponement beyond the seven-day threshold remains the primary risk vector. Previous Clutch Series editions saw fixture completion rates above 95%, suggesting the market's confidence reflects genuine operational stability rather than overpricing.
Traders should monitor NODWIN's official announcements for any venue, technical, or roster changes in the 48 hours preceding the match. Team roster confirmations and recent scrim results between these squads may shift competitive expectations, though they would not alter match-completion probability. Internet connectivity issues affecting Indian-based tournaments have occasionally caused delays; any weather warnings or infrastructure alerts in the host region warrant attention. The settlement window closes 16 June at 23:00 UTC, providing a hard deadline for resolution determination.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - NOD… on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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