Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
52% | 48% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
52% | 48% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 52% Gentle Mates | 49% Nuclear TigeRES |
| Map 2 Winner | 54% Gentle Mates | 47% Nuclear TigeRES |
| Match Winner | 51% Gentle Mates | 50% Nuclear TigeRES |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 47% Over | 54% Under |
| Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5) | 23% Gentle Mates | 78% Nuclear TigeRES |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% Over | 49% Under |
Market context
The Counter-Strike quarterfinal between Gentle Mates and Nuclear TigeRES in the NODWIN Clutch Series is scheduled for 4:00AM ET on 16 June, with the current market pricing Gentle Mates at 47% implied probability. The match represents a significant playoff fixture in the Indian esports circuit, where NODWIN has established itself as a major tournament operator. Recent roster movements and team form across both squads will determine whether the opening odds hold through to match day.
Gentle Mates have historically performed inconsistently in best-of-three formats against similarly ranked opposition, with their win rate in quarterfinal-stage matches sitting around 52% over the past eighteen months. Nuclear TigeRES, conversely, have shown stronger performances in high-pressure playoff scenarios, though their sample size remains smaller. The 47% probability for Gentle Mates suggests the market views this as a competitive fixture with slight edge to the opposition—a positioning consistent with how prediction markets typically price teams with marginal historical advantages in knockout stages.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding player availability and any last-minute roster changes through to the settlement window closure on 16 June at 17:00 UTC. The early morning ET scheduling creates potential for delays or rescheduling complications; the market's 50-50 tie-break clause for matches delayed beyond seven days without resolution is relevant here. Any official NODWIN communications regarding venue changes or technical issues would shift the probability substantially, as would confirmation of both teams fielding their primary lineups. Current market depth suggests moderate liquidity, typical for regional esports fixtures outside the top-tier international circuit.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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