Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

illwill face ex-RUBY in a CCT Europe Series #4 group-stage best-of-three on 16 June, with the settlement window closing at 17:00 UTC. The 0% implied probability suggests either minimal trading activity or strong consensus that the match will not resolve as a standard illwill victory. Given the early morning scheduling (07:00 ET), fixture cancellations or delays remain material risks, particularly across European regional tournaments where administrative changes occur frequently within 48 hours of match time.

CCT Europe tournaments have historically experienced fixture postponements and rescheduling, with several group-stage matches in prior seasons pushed beyond the seven-day window. The resolution criteria specify that delays exceeding seven days without a determined winner trigger a 50-50 split, creating a structural incentive for traders to monitor scheduling announcements closely. Both teams' roster stability and participation history in CCT events will inform whether either side is likely to forfeit or face logistical barriers.

Traders should track official CCT Europe communications and team social media for any squad changes, visa issues, or tournament administration updates through 15 June. The settlement window's 17:00 UTC close on match day itself leaves minimal buffer for post-match verification, meaning any technical delays in result confirmation could affect resolution timing. Fixture confirmations typically arrive 24–48 hours before group-stage play; absence of such confirmation by 14 June would signal elevated cancellation risk.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.