Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

FaZe Clan face Alliance in an upper bracket quarterfinal of the Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs on 27 May, with the match scheduled for 11:00 AM ET and settlement closing at 21:00 UTC the same day. The 100% crowd probability reflects FaZe's established standing as one of Counter-Strike's premier organisations, though this extreme confidence warrants scrutiny given the compressed settlement window and potential for fixture delays.

Historical precedent from tier-one Counter-Strike playoffs shows that upper bracket matches between established rosters and lesser-seeded opponents typically favour the higher-ranked team, yet upsets occur in roughly 15–20% of such fixtures when preparation gaps narrow or meta shifts favour specific playstyles. Alliance's exact roster composition and recent form against FaZe's current lineup will determine whether the 100% reading reflects genuine dominance or market overconfidence. The seven-day cancellation clause creates material risk: fixture postponements beyond 29 May trigger a 50-50 resolution, which would substantially alter the settlement outcome.

Traders should monitor official Stake Ranked communications for any schedule changes or player availability issues in the 48 hours preceding the match. FaZe's recent tournament results and Alliance's performance in preceding rounds will provide concrete data on form, though the settlement deadline of 21:00 UTC allows minimal margin for technical delays or map disputes that occasionally extend Counter-Strike fixtures. Confirmation of both rosters' participation and absence of withdrawal announcements by 26 May evening represents the key catalyst for maintaining confidence in the current probability.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.