Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Map Handicap: ENCE (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: CSH.P (-1.5) vs ENCE (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
ENCE face CYBERSHOKE Prospects in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match within the European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier on 26 May at 04:00 ET. The 0% implied probability suggests either extreme confidence in ENCE's superiority or minimal market participation at this early stage. Given the qualifier format's significance—determining advancement in a competitive regional circuit—the absence of trading activity warrants scrutiny before the settlement window closes.
ENCE operates as an established Nordic roster with consistent European LAN presence, whilst CYBERSHOKE Prospects represents a developmental squad with limited track record against top-tier opposition. Historical qualifier dynamics show that seeding disparities often compress during group play, particularly when fixture scheduling concentrates matches within narrow timeframes. The 7-day cancellation threshold creates genuine settlement risk; qualifier tournaments frequently experience rescheduling due to technical issues or player availability conflicts.
Traders should monitor official EPL communications for any fixture amendments or postponements, particularly given the early morning ET slot which may conflict with European scheduling preferences. Team roster confirmations typically emerge 48–72 hours before qualifier matches. The current zero probability reflects either incomplete market information or genuine expectation of ENCE dominance, but the lack of liquidity means early position-taking carries execution risk. Watch for any withdrawal announcements from either squad, which would trigger the 50-50 tie resolution clause.
Methodology
We track Counter-Strike: ENCE vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group D on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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