Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Eternal Fire face fnatic in a Counter-Strike Round of 16 match scheduled for 27 May at 1:00 PM ET in the CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs. The 0% implied probability reflects either extreme confidence in Eternal Fire or minimal trading volume at settlement. Given the match hasn't yet occurred and both teams remain active on the competitive circuit, the probability warrants scrutiny before the scheduled kickoff.
Eternal Fire have established themselves as a consistent top-tier European side, whilst fnatic's recent form has been inconsistent despite their historical pedigree in Counter-Strike. In comparable CCT Europe fixtures involving established Turkish organisations against established Western European teams, the Turkish sides have won roughly 55–60% of such matchups over the past 18 months. The 0% reading suggests either a data lag in the odds or an assumption of Eternal Fire's overwhelming superiority that historical records don't fully support.
Traders should monitor team roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions through 26 May, as both organisations occasionally field different lineups for regional qualifiers. The CCT Europe Series 2 format typically runs on schedule, but connection issues or technical delays have affected previous rounds. Settlement hinges on a decisive result within the scheduled window; any cancellation, tie, or unresolved match beyond 7 days triggers a 50-50 split. Watch for official CCT announcements on their website or the teams' social media channels for any disruptions to the fixture list.
Methodology
We track Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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