Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
BetBoom Team face Team Liquid in a BLAST Slam Group Stage best-of-one on 27 May at 06:20 UTC. The 0% implied probability for BetBoom reflects the substantial gap in recent competitive standing between the two rosters. Team Liquid have maintained consistent top-tier placements across major tournaments throughout 2025 and 2026, whilst BetBoom have struggled to secure consistent results against elite opposition in comparable events. The single-game format eliminates any opportunity for teams to adapt across multiple matches, placing heightened emphasis on draft execution and early-game coordination.
Historical precedent from BLAST Slam events shows that seeding disparities of this magnitude typically correlate with outcomes favouring the higher-ranked team, though single-elimination formats do introduce variance. Team Liquid's recent performances at major LANs have demonstrated reliable execution against regional competitors, whereas BetBoom's record against Tier-1 European and international sides remains inconsistent. The 0% probability suggests the market has essentially settled on Team Liquid as the overwhelming favourite.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute stand-in announcements through official BLAST channels and team social media in the 48 hours preceding the match. Technical delays or scheduling shifts remain possible given the early UTC start time, though BLAST events typically maintain strict adherence to published schedules. Any unexpected roster changes or withdrawal announcements would trigger immediate market reassessment, though current conditions suggest minimal probability of such developments.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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