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Highest temperature in Paris on June 6?

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Highest temperature in Paris on June 6?" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Prediction Today.

0% YES 100% NO Volume: $147K Closes: 6 Jun 2026
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Highest temperature in Paris on June 6?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Prediction Today Pick
polygram.ink
 0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Prediction Today →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Prediction Today →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Prediction Today →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Prediction Today →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Prediction Today →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.

Active sub-markets

15°C or below0% YES100% NO
16°C0% YES100% NO
17°C0% YES100% NO
18°C0% YES100% NO
19°C0% YES100% NO
20°C0% YES100% NO

Market context

Highest temperature in Paris on June 6? — current market-implied probability: 0%. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26. The resolution source for thi…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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