Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 26?

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Market context

Los Angeles is forecast to experience warm conditions on 26 May 2026, with the National Weather Service currently projecting highs in the mid-80s Fahrenheit for the coastal Los Angeles area. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders are either uncertain about the specific temperature range or awaiting clearer forecasting data as the date approaches. Late May typically marks the transition into summer heating patterns across Southern California, though marine layer influence often moderates coastal temperatures at LAX.

Historical records from Los Angeles International Airport show May highs typically range between 75–82°F, with extremes occasionally reaching into the upper 80s during heat events. The airport's coastal location keeps temperatures notably cooler than inland basins; a May 26 reading above 90°F would be unusual but not unprecedented. Comparable warm-season days at LAX have occasionally exceeded 85°F when Santa Ana-like conditions develop or when upper-level ridging strengthens inland pressure gradients.

Traders should monitor extended-range forecasts from the National Weather Service and NOAA's Climate Prediction Center as May approaches, particularly any signals of high-pressure systems or unusual upper-air patterns. Current seasonal outlooks suggest near-normal temperatures across California for late May, though individual day variability remains substantial. The settlement window closes at midday on 26 May, meaning morning forecasts and any overnight weather developments will be critical to final resolution.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.