Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 11?

Platform comparison

Market context

Chongqing's August weather patterns show consistent high temperatures, with historical daily maxima typically ranging between 35–39°C during mid-August. The city's location in the Sichuan Basin creates a heat-trapping effect, and the monsoon season's influence remains marginal by this point in summer. Current meteorological data from Weather Underground's Jiangbei International Airport station—the designated resolution source—will determine settlement. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders are pricing in either extreme confidence in a specific temperature band or insufficient liquidity to establish meaningful odds across the range options.

Historical August 11 records at Chongqing show temperatures have exceeded 37°C on comparable dates in recent years, with 2013 and 2017 both recording peaks above 38°C on mid-August days. The city rarely experiences cooling events in early-to-mid August; tropical systems typically arrive later in the season. Comparable Chinese inland cities at similar latitudes show analogous patterns, with sustained heat the dominant outcome rather than anomalous cooling.

Traders should monitor any tropical cyclone track forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration in the week preceding August 11, though such systems rarely reach Chongqing before late August. Short-term atmospheric pressure patterns and any upper-level troughs moving eastward could introduce variability, but the baseline expectation remains elevated temperatures consistent with climatological norms. The Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be the authoritative source, not summary figures, requiring verification of the specific station's recorded maximum rather than regional estimates.

Methodology

This page reviews Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 11? across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

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UK Frequently Asked Questions

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How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

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