Ethereum price on May 22?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Ethereum has been drifting lower over the past few sessions, but the move has been modest rather than disorderly. Fortune put ETH at $2,116.35 on 21 May at 9:15 a.m. Eastern, down $4.34 on the day and roughly $435 lower than a year earlier. Robinhood’s market for this afternoon’s Binance-derived noon ET close is pricing a broad range around the low-$2,000s, with the steepest concentration below $2,100 and only thin weight in the higher brackets. A 0% YES price in this market points to the market either over-discounting the chance of a rebound or reacting to a bracket structure that demands a very specific settlement level.

The recent tape suggests traders should read this as a range-trading set-up rather than a directional breakout call. Ethereum has been holding close to the $2,100 area in recent snapshots, which means the noon candle only needs a relatively small push to clear or miss the relevant bracket, depending on the market’s exact threshold. The key comparison is not with long-term ETH performance, but with how often intraday moves around round numbers and US session volatility can shift a close by tens of dollars rather than hundreds.

For catalysts, watch Bitcoin-led risk moves, US macro data hitting during the session, and any fresh crypto-specific headlines that alter spot demand or liquidation flows. The benchmark here is Binance’s 1-minute ETH/USDT candle at 12:00 ET, so the final print is sensitive to late morning liquidity and any sharp move in the minutes before noon. Fortune’s latest price update shows ETH already stabilising near the same band this market cares about, so the immediate question is whether buyers can defend the low-$2,100s into the settlement window.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.