Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 10?

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Market context

The latest shift in the past day is that Kuala Lumpur’s near-term forecast has edged towards a **warm, storm-prone** setup rather than a clean, dry heat spike, with MET Malaysia calling for **no rain** and a **33°C** maximum for the district on 10 August, while AccuWeather points to a **92°F** high with morning showers and thunderstorm risk later. Weather Underground’s station history for Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport has already shown **91°F** as the recent daily high, so the market is being asked to price not just the day’s headline warmth but whether the airport station can nudge into a higher Celsius bracket in the remaining observation window.[12][9][4]

For context, late-summer temperatures in Kuala Lumpur commonly sit in the high 20s to low 30s Celsius, with August averages around **30°C/87°F** and a typical daily high near **31°C**. Recent comparable days have also clustered close to the low-30s range: WorldWeatherOnline shows recent August maxima of **32°C to 34°C**, while Weather Underground’s history page lists a **96°F** record high for the site. That makes the crowd’s **0% YES** reading look most consistent with an expectation that the airport station stays below the upper-30s Celsius bands, rather than with any broad belief that the day will turn unusually cool.[10][6][4]

What matters now is the timing and evolution of convective rain. The main catalysts are the midday and afternoon forecast updates, any thunderstorm development over the Klang Valley, and whether wind, cloud, or showers suppress the airport’s peak before the settlement cutoff. Malaysia’s official district forecast is the clearest local guide available in the results, and both MET Malaysia and the short-range commercial forecasts currently keep the high in the low 30s rather than signalling a late-day surge into materially hotter territory.[12][19][9]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 10? across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

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