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# of views of next MrBeast gaming video on day 1?

Live odds for "# of views of next MrBeast gaming video on day 1?" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

0% YES 100% NO Volume: $158K Liquidity: $218K Closes: 21 Jun 2026
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# of views of next MrBeast gaming video on day 1?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Prediction Today Pick
polygram.ink
0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Prediction Today →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Prediction Today →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Prediction Today →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Prediction Today →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Prediction Today →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.

Active sub-markets

12–14M0% YES100% NO
14–16M0% YES100% NO
8–10M0% YES100% NO
10–12M100% YES0% NO
16–18M0% YES100% NO
18M+0% YES100% NO

Market context

The key change in the past 24-48 hours is that there is still no confirmed upload from MrBeast Gaming, even though the channel’s own posting pattern points to a Saturday midday Eastern release. MrBeast Gaming says it posts a new video every Saturday at noon Eastern, but if no upload arrives by the market’s deadline, the contract resolves to the lowest range bracket.[9]

That makes the current 0% implied YES more consistent with the absence of a scheduled release than with any strong read on demand. Comparable MrBeast videos often launch with very large first-day counts, but the relevant uncertainty here is not audience size; it is whether a qualifying video appears in time and how broadly the video is distributed on a day-one basis. MrBeast’s main channel and related projects have continued to produce high-reach uploads and large-format collaborations, which keeps upside intact if a Gaming video does land.[5][10]

The main catalysts are simple: an explicit upload, a teased premiere, or a delayed announcement from the MrBeast team. Recent coverage of MrBeast’s upcoming uploads shows he has been previewing multiple concepts on social media, but without a firm release date in at least one recent case.[2] If the channel follows its usual Saturday cadence, the next few hours matter most; if nothing posts, traders should expect the probability to stay pinned unless an out-of-cycle upload is announced.[9]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews # of views of next MrBeast gaming video on day 1? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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