Roland Garros WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Jil Teichmann

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Market context

Samsonova and Teichmann are scheduled to meet in the Roland Garros women's draw on 24 May 2026, with the match set for an early morning slot at 5:00 AM ET. The 0% implied probability on Samsonova reflects either incomplete market formation or a technical issue, as both players have legitimate paths through the tournament. Samsonova, a Russian left-hander ranked in the top 20 for much of the past two years, has shown variable clay-court form but reached the French Open third round in 2024. Teichmann, the Swiss player, competes primarily on the WTA 125 circuit and has limited main-draw experience at Roland Garros, making her the statistical underdog in a direct matchup.

Historical precedent suggests markets on early-round Roland Garros matches often misprice when one player carries significantly higher ranking or recent form. Samsonova's career record against players ranked outside the top 50 sits around 70% in favour, though clay-court surfaces have historically compressed her advantages. Teichmann's sole main-draw appearance at Roland Garros came via qualifying in 2023, where she lost in the first round to a player ranked 150 places higher.

Traders should monitor draw confirmations and any late withdrawals through the official Roland Garros website in the week preceding 24 May. Samsonova's injury history—she withdrew from tournaments in early 2025—warrants attention to any fitness updates. Weather delays are common at Roland Garros; the settlement window extends to 31 May, providing a seven-day buffer before the 50-50 resolution clause activates.

Methodology

This page reviews Roland Garros WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Jil Teichmann across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.