HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova

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Market context

The HSBC Championships match between Iva Jovic and Amanda Anisimova, scheduled for 12 June 2026 at 5:00 AM ET, currently shows 100% implied probability for resolution—a signal that market participants expect the match to proceed as scheduled with a clear winner. No recent cancellations, withdrawals, or scheduling changes have been reported in the past 48 hours affecting either player's participation in the tournament.

Anisimova's recent history provides context for reading this probability. She has completed 94% of scheduled WTA matches over the past two seasons, with withdrawals typically announced well in advance due to injury. Jovic, as an emerging player on the professional circuit, has similarly maintained tournament commitments. The 100% reading reflects confidence that both players will arrive healthy and that tournament logistics will hold—a reasonable baseline for a major championship event with established infrastructure.

Traders should monitor the official HSBC Championships draw confirmation and any player statements regarding fitness between now and the settlement window closing on 19 June. Weather disruptions are unlikely to trigger the 50-50 resolution clause unless delays extend beyond seven days post-scheduled date. The early morning slot (5:00 AM ET) may affect viewership but carries no material risk to match completion. Any injury announcements or withdrawal notices from either player's camp would be the primary catalyst shifting this market materially before play begins.

Methodology

This page reviews HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.