Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Mirra Andreeva faces Jil Teichmann in the Roland Garros women's draw, scheduled for 31 May 2026. The 91% implied probability backing Andreeva reflects her trajectory as a rising junior talent who has progressed rapidly through professional ranks, whilst Teichmann, now in her early thirties, has seen her ranking decline from a career-high of 12th. The 24-hour window has likely solidified this positioning given no reported injuries or withdrawals affecting either player's participation status.

Andreeva's form entering Roland Garros will be the primary determinant. She has demonstrated clay-court aptitude in junior competitions and early professional outings, though her record against established players remains limited. Teichmann's experience on the surface—she reached the 2022 French Open quarter-finals—provides a structural advantage, but her recent match fitness and ranking trajectory (currently outside the top 100) suggest diminished competitive capacity. The 91% probability essentially prices in Andreeva's youth, upward momentum, and seeding advantage against a veteran in decline.

Traders should monitor official Roland Garros draw confirmations and any late withdrawals through to the settlement window closure on 7 June. Weather delays are possible given the tournament's outdoor scheduling, though the seven-day buffer accommodates typical rain interruptions. Injury announcements in the 48 hours before play would be the primary catalyst to shift pricing materially. Current odds reflect a straightforward matchup where form and ranking favour the younger player decisively.

Methodology

We track Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.