ITF Roehampton: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet

Platform comparison

Market context

The key change in the last day is that the Roehampton final has moved from pre-match pricing into live play, with Charles Broom and Oliver Tarvet listed for an indoor hard-court match at 09:30 UTC and live scoreboards already carrying the fixture. That makes the market’s 100% YES reading less about abstract form and more about whether the final is completed cleanly rather than abandoned or pushed outside the settlement rules.[2][4][7]

The historical frame points to a fairly even matchup despite the lopsided crowd price: bookmakers and odds trackers have had Tarvet as a narrow favourite, with one preview putting him around 1.43 and Broom around 2.58, while another feed showed roughly 1.42 versus 2.85.[1][14] Both players also arrived off straight-sets wins in the same event, and the final has been treated as a likely two-set match rather than a long grind, which supports why a “match to finish” outcome is the base case rather than an upset-driven one.[1][9][18]

For traders, the main catalysts are straightforward: completion status, any sign of retirement or walkover, and whether the final is delayed long enough to fall into the market’s 50-50 fallback rules. Roehampton finals are being tracked on live score services and ITF-linked viewing listings, so the practical watchpoints are the official score feed, any tournament schedule change, and whether the match stays on court without a stoppage beyond the seven-day window.[2][4][17]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track ITF Roehampton: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

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