Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Kopriva

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Market context

Martin Landaluce and Vit Kopriva are scheduled to meet in the first or early qualifying round of Roland Garros ATP on 28 May 2026. The 100% crowd probability reflects near-certainty that this match will take place as scheduled, with one player advancing. No withdrawal announcements or scheduling conflicts have emerged in the past 48 hours affecting either competitor's participation.

Landaluce, a Spanish player ranked outside the top 200, has competed primarily on the Challenger circuit and qualifying draws. Kopriva, a Czech player with similar ranking trajectory, operates in the same tier of professional tennis. Matches between players at this level proceed to completion in roughly 95% of cases when both competitors arrive healthy; retirements mid-match occur in under 3% of qualifying encounters. The 100% implied probability assumes standard fixture execution without injury, illness, or administrative cancellation—a reasonable baseline for a scheduled qualifying match seven days out.

Traders should monitor ATP injury reports and weather forecasts for Roland Garros in the 72 hours before play. Wet conditions at the clay courts can delay matches but rarely cancel them outright. Either player could withdraw due to injury sustained in prior matches, though no such reports have surfaced. The settlement window closes 4 June at 09:00 UTC, allowing seven days for completion. If the match begins but one player retires, the advancing player wins the market; only an unfinished match with no winner determination beyond 7 days would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.