Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi | 0% Rafael Jodar | 100% Luciano Darderi |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi Match O/U 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Market consensus: 0% chance of internazionali bnl d'italia: rafael jodar vs luciano darderi. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Luciano Darderi in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market…
Methodology
This page reviews Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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