Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Jaume Munar Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% Munar | 100% Bergs |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Jaume Munar | 100% Zizou Bergs | 0% Jaume Munar |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Jaume Munar Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% Over 2.5 | 100% Under 2.5 |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Jaume Munar Set 2 Winner | 100% Bergs | 0% Munar |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Jaume Munar Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Jaume Munar Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Zizou Bergs and Jaume Munar are now listed for a first-round Eastbourne meeting, with live ATP scoring already up and the match shown on the tournament scoreboard as underway or due imminently, which is the main reason the market has shifted from abstract pre-match pricing to an event-specific read.[4][5][7] Public previews had Bergs as the early favourite, with one guide putting him around 1.57 to Munar’s 2.39 and another picking Bergs in three sets.[1]
The historical frame is still fairly thin, because this is only their second recorded meeting in the event listings and the market is being driven more by grass-court form and draw placement than by a long head-to-head file.[1][2] That matters because Eastbourne often produces tight sets and small-margin outcomes, and Bergs has been priced as the stronger outright option even though Munar’s presence keeps the match competitive rather than one-sided.[1] There is also a fresh 2025 US Open meeting between the pair in the record set, which at least shows they have recent match-up familiarity.[9]
For traders, the key catalysts are simple: whether the match is completed, whether it is moved on the order of play, and whether any retirement or walkover is recorded before the seven-day settlement window closes.[1][7] The ATP live page and tournament scoreboard are the relevant real-time references, while outside previews have pointed to a Monday afternoon slot on Court 1, so any weather delay, schedule shuffle, or withdrawal notice would be the main trigger for a non-standard settlement outcome.[1][4][5]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Jaume Munar on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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