US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?
Yes 50%
No 50%
Vol. $92.7M
Technology prediction market · Vol. $976K
| 31% YES | 70% NO | |
| Alibaba | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| ByteDance | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Moonshot | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Z.ai | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| DeepSeek | 0% YES | 100% NO |
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the ma
The Polymarket market "Which company has the best AI model end of May?" is currently trading at 31% YES. This means thousands of traders worldwide estimate the probability of this outcome at 31%.
These prices are generated by real capital (USDC) on the Polygon network — not by bookmaker margins. They reflect the aggregated collective judgement of informed market participants.
Prediction markets like this one let informed participants put real money behind their views. Technology markets on Polymarket are characterised by deep liquidity and fast resolution. This market closes on 31 May 2026 with automatic USDC settlement.
How do I trade this market? Visit PolyGram, create an account, deposit USDC, and buy YES or NO shares. Trading takes minutes.
What happens at resolution? USDC payouts are automatically processed via smart contract on Polygon — typically within minutes of the event resolving.
Is this legal? Prediction market regulations vary by jurisdiction. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
Live data from Polymarket · updated hourly