Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
42% | 58% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
42% | 58% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Solana Sierra vs Anna Blinkova | 42% Solana Sierra | 59% Anna Blinkova |
| Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Solana Sierra vs Anna Blinkova Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Solana Sierra vs Anna Blinkova Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Solana Sierra vs Anna Blinkova Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Solana Sierra vs Anna Blinkova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 1% Sierra | 99% Blinkova |
| Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Solana Sierra vs Anna Blinkova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 4% Blinkova | 96% Sierra |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 42% YES probability for Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Solana Sierra vs Anna Blinkova. This market refers to the tennis match between Solana Sierra and Anna Blinkova in the Bad Homburg Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $269K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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