Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Claire Liu vs Ipek Oz | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Claire Liu vs Ipek Oz Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Claire Liu vs Ipek Oz Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Claire Liu vs Ipek Oz Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Claire Liu vs Ipek Oz Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Claire Liu vs Ipek Oz Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Claire Liu vs Ipek Oz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Claire Liu vs Ipek Oz Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Claire Liu vs Ipek Oz Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Claire Liu vs Ipek Oz Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Claire Liu vs Ipek Oz Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Claire Liu vs Ipek Oz Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Claire Liu vs Ipek Oz Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open, Qualification: Claire Liu vs Ipek Oz Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, iasi open, qualification: claire liu vs ipek oz stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Claire Liu and Ipek Oz in the Iasi Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolv…
Methodology
This page reviews Iasi Open, Qualification: Claire Liu vs Ipek Oz across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Iasi Open, Qualification: Claire Liu vs Ipek Oz on Prediction Today
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