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Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Set 2 Winner 100% Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Match O/U 22.5 100% Volume: $1.2M Liquidity: $405K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Set 2 Winner100%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Match O/U 22.5100%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Match O/U 23.599%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Match O/U 21.586%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Total Sets: O/U 2.575%
Completed Match50%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa48%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Set Handicap +/-1.51%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Set 1 Winner0%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, iasi open: alevtina ibragimova vs paula badosa stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Alevtina Ibragimova and Paula Badosa in the Iasi Open, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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