Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Kitzbuehel: Veronika Erjavec vs Victoria Bosio | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Kitzbuehel: Veronika Erjavec vs Victoria Bosio Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Kitzbuehel: Veronika Erjavec vs Victoria Bosio Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Kitzbuehel: Veronika Erjavec vs Victoria Bosio Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Kitzbuehel: Veronika Erjavec vs Victoria Bosio Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Kitzbuehel: Veronika Erjavec vs Victoria Bosio Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Kitzbuehel: Veronika Erjavec vs Victoria Bosio Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Kitzbuehel: Veronika Erjavec vs Victoria Bosio Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Kitzbuehel: Veronika Erjavec vs Victoria Bosio Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Kitzbuehel: Veronika Erjavec vs Victoria Bosio Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Kitzbuehel: Veronika Erjavec vs Victoria Bosio Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Kitzbuehel: Veronika Erjavec vs Victoria Bosio Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Kitzbuehel: Veronika Erjavec vs Victoria Bosio Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Kitzbuehel: Veronika Erjavec vs Victoria Bosio Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Kitzbuehel: Veronika Erjavec vs Victoria Bosio Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of kitzbuehel: veronika erjavec vs victoria bosio. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Veronika Erjavec and Victoria Bosio in the Kitzbuehel, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve…
Methodology
This page reviews Kitzbuehel: Veronika Erjavec vs Victoria Bosio across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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