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National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff

How the prediction-market book is pricing "National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff 50% Completed Match 50% National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Set 1 Winner 50% National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 8.5 50% Volume: $412K Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 18 Aug 2026
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National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff50%
Completed Match50%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Set 1 Winner50%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 8.550%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Set 2 O/U 8.550%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Match O/U 21.550%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Set 2 Winner50%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Set Handicap +/-1.550%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 9.550%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Set 2 O/U 9.550%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Match O/U 22.550%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Set 2 O/U 10.550%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 10.550%
National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff Match O/U 23.550%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, national bank open: belinda bencic vs coco gauff stands at 50% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Belinda Bencic and Coco Gauff in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will re…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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