Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wimbledon WTA: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikova Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 92% |
| Completed Match | 75% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikova Match O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikova Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikova Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikova Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikova Match O/U 23.5 | 25% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikova Set 2 Winner | 8% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikova | 3% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikova Match O/U 22.5 | 3% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikova Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikova Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikova Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of wimbledon wta: nikola bartunkova vs barbora krejcikova. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Nikola Bartunkova and Barbora Krejcikova in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will …
Methodology
This page reviews Wimbledon WTA: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikova across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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