Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Bianca Andreescu vs Jil Teichmann

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Bianca Andreescu advanced to the second round of Wimbledon women’s qualifying after a commanding 6-4, 6-2 victory over Polona Hercog on Tuesday, winning 84% of first-serve points and facing only two break points, both saved [1][4]. This win sets up her semi-final clash with Switzerland’s Jil Teichmann, a match now priced at 75% YES for Andreescu to advance, reflecting her dominant form on grass this week [2][3].

Historically, Andreescu’s past Wimbledon performances have been inconsistent, yet her recent qualifying surge mirrors her 2019 breakthrough, where she won her first two qualifying matches in straight sets before reaching the main draw [6][7]. In comparable cases, players with WTA rankings above 150 (Teichmann is 126) facing a top-200 opponent (Andreescu is 180) on grass often see the higher-ranked player favoured, but Andreescu’s first-serve dominance and low break-point exposure tilt the odds decisively toward her [2][3].

Traders should monitor any late weather updates for London, as rain delays could disrupt the 07:30 AM ET start time, and watch for Teichmann’s pre-match fitness announcements, given her Paris fourth-round appearance in May [7][8]. Sportskeeda notes that while Teichmann is favoured based on 2026 results, Andreescu’s Wimbledon history offers a critical edge, making this a high-stakes qualifier where serve efficiency will likely determine the outcome [6].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.