Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The game was played and Phoenix won 93-73, so the market’s current 0% YES price is already consistent with the realised result rather than an open live event.[1][3] Seattle were outscored 62-49 after the first quarter and never threatened late, which makes this a straightforward final rather than a contest where late substitutions, overtime, or replay risk would have mattered.[1]

The main comparable frame is form rather than matchup novelty: both clubs entered the night on poor runs, with Seattle on a 10-game skid and Phoenix having just ended a four-game losing streak.[1][2] In that context, the result fits a pattern markets often struggle to price cleanly before tip-off when both sides are slumping, but once the scoreline is this one-sided the only remaining uncertainty is administrative, not sporting.[1]

For traders watching today, the relevant catalysts are now limited to official status changes rather than on-court volatility. CBS Sports had already identified the fixture as a same-day WNBA matchup in Phoenix, and ESPN’s final box score confirms completion, so the only dependency left is whether the settlement feed ingests the final result without delay.[1][2] Because the market resolves on the final score including overtime, any postponed or cancelled scenario would have mattered only before completion; with a final now posted, those branches are effectively moot unless the event record is later revised.[1]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.