Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
56% | 44% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
56% | 44% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -10.5 | 56% |
| O/U 167.5 | 55% |
| O/U 168.5 | 53% |
| Spread -11.5 | 52% |
| O/U 169.5 | 51% |
| Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 17.5 | 49% |
| Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 15.5 | 49% |
| Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 6.5 | 35% |
| Jordin Canada: Points O/U 10.5 | 34% |
| Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| Angel Reese: Points O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| Natisha Hiedeman: Assists O/U 4.5 | 33% |
| Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 33% |
| Allisha Gray: Points O/U 18.5 | 31% |
| Dominique Malonga: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 31% |
| Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 18.5 | 31% |
| Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 14.5 | 30% |
| Allisha Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream | 18% |
Market context
Market consensus: 56% chance of seattle storm vs. atlanta dream. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 9 at 8:00PM ET: If the Seattle Storm win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Storm". If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolv…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $114K.
Methodology
This page reviews Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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