Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
73% | 27% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
73% | 27% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo | 73% |
| Pauline Astier: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 59% |
| O/U 175.5 | 57% |
| O/U 176.5 | 55% |
| Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| O/U 177.5 | 53% |
| Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| O/U 178.5 | 49% |
| Spread -7.5 | 48% |
| Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 20.5 | 47% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 17.5 | 46% |
| Isabelle Harrison: Points O/U 14.5 | 46% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 46% |
| Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 45% |
| Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.5 | 41% |
| Julie Allemand: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Isabelle Harrison: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 37% |
| Pauline Astier: Points O/U 9.5 | 35% |
| Pauline Astier: Assists O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Jonquel Jones: Assists O/U 2.5 | 33% |
| Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 32% |
| Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 6.5 | 32% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 15.5 | 31% |
| Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 19.5 | 29% |
| Isabelle Harrison: Points O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 15.5 | 28% |
| Marine Johannès: Points O/U 8.5 | 27% |
| Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 27% |
| Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Pauline Astier: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 23% |
Market context
Market consensus: 73% chance of new york liberty vs. toronto tempo. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 12 at 3:00PM ET: If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liberty". If the Toronto Tempo win, the market will…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $117K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo on Prediction Today
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