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Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Prediction Today.

Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs LOUD (+4.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Volume: $272K Liquidity: $270K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs LOUD (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs LOUD (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs LOUD (+4.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs LOUD (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.550%
Map 2 Winner1%
O/U 2.5 Games1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs LOUD (+4.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs LOUD (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs LOUD (+5.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs LOUD (+6.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-7.5) vs LOUD (+7.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-8.5) vs LOUD (+8.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs LOUD (+5.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs LOUD (+6.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-7.5) vs LOUD (+7.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-8.5) vs LOUD (+8.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: loud vs 100 thieves (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group omega stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between LOUD and 100 Thieves in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for August 9 at 8:00PM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

We track Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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